Europe is evolving into a set of regionalized groupings. These organizations may have different ideas about security and economic matters, one country may even belong to more than one grouping, but for the most part membership will largely be based on location on the Continent. This will not happen overnight. Germany, France and other core economies have a vested interest in preserving the eurozone in its current form for the short-term — perhaps as long as another decade — since the economic contagion from Greece is an existential concern for the moment. In the long-term, however, regional organizations of like-minded blocs is the path that seems to be evolving in Europe, especially if Germany decides that its relationship with core eurozone countries and Central Europe is more important than its relationship with the periphery. We can separate the blocs into four main fledgling groupings, which are not mutually exclusive, as a sort of model to depict the evolving relationships among countries in Europe: the German sphere of influence, the Nordic sphere of influence, Visegrad Plus, and Mediterranean Europe. While these groupings are by no means fixed, they are a useful lens through which to view Europe's current political alliances and its potential future alliances.
GRAPHICS
Europe's Spheres of Influence
Jun 28, 2011 | 20:06 GMT
(Stratfor)