ASSESSMENTS

External Powers Have Good Reason Not to Intervene in Libya

Sep 10, 2014 | 16:08 GMT

External Powers Have Good Reason Not to Intervene in Libya
A Libyan flag flutters under a bridge near Tripoli on Sept. 9.

(MAHMUD TURKIA/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

France continues to focus attention on Libya. Most recently, on Sept. 9 the Elysee issued a call for joint international action in the North African country. While France stopped short of discussing military intervention, Stratfor sources say that Egypt and the United Arab Emirates have approached Paris about just such an option, and they may also approach the United States. 
 
Countries wanting to intervene in Libya face considerable constraints, and the objectives that could be attained are unclear. Regional actors will probably continue to be those most involved in direct and indirect interventions in Libya.

No one is willing to commit to the state-building processes that would be necessary to bring about lasting change....

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