ASSESSMENTS

A Financial Crisis in India Remains Unlikely Following the Adani Scandal

Feb 9, 2023 | 20:56 GMT

Activists who are part of the youth wing of the opposition Indian National Congress party hold placards and shout slogans during a protest outside the regional headquarters of India's Life Insurance Corporation in New Delhi, India, on Feb. 7, 2023. The protesters are calling for an inquiry into allegations of major accounting fraud at the Adani Group.

Activists who are part of the youth wing of the opposition Indian National Congress party hold placards and shout slogans during a protest outside the regional headquarters of India's Life Insurance Corporation in New Delhi, India, on Feb. 7, 2023. The protesters are calling for an inquiry into allegations of major accounting fraud at the Adani Group.

(Photo by SAJJAD HUSSAIN/AFP via Getty Images)

Financial turmoil at the Adani Group, an Indian conglomerate with close ties to the government, is unlikely to trigger a broader financial crisis in India because its total financial liabilities seem to be relatively small, though the episode may hurt Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government politically. India's Adani Group conglomerate, controlled by Indian billionaire Gautam Adani, saw the value of its listed companies plunge dramatically in late January and early February after investment research suggested that Adani's businesses had used a web of shell entities to manipulate stock prices in order to issue more debt. The Adani Group has denied the allegations. This decrease in value forced the company to cancel its $2.4 billion share sale on Jan. 31, and on Feb. 6-7, Adani announced his intention to pre-pay loans, including loans backed by Adani Group shares, to calm investor sentiment and demonstrate that the conglomerate has sufficient liquidity. The...

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