Four Scenarios for Rising Russia-Ukraine Tensions

Russia's buildup of troops along the Ukrainian border has reignited speculation regarding the future of the Donbas conflict and Moscow's intentions in eastern Ukraine more broadly. For now, the Kremlin's primary motivation is to increase its leverage in impending European security talks with the United States and NATO amid Moscow's push for "security guarantees." Amid this backdrop, there are four main scenarios for the future of the conflict in Ukraine....