GUIDANCE

Four Scenarios for Rising Russia-Ukraine Tensions

MIN READDec 23, 2021 | 16:49 GMT

A Ukrainian serviceman in a trench on the frontline with Russia-backed separatistsApril 23, 2021, near the town of Krasnogorivka in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine.

A Ukrainian serviceman in a trench on the frontline with Russia-backed separatistsApril 23, 2021, near the town of Krasnogorivka in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine.

(ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images)

Russia's buildup of troops along the Ukrainian border has reignited speculation regarding the future of the Donbas conflict and Moscow's intentions in eastern Ukraine more broadly. For now, the Kremlin's primary motivation is to increase its leverage in impending European security talks with the United States and NATO amid Moscow's push for "security guarantees." Amid this backdrop, there are four main scenarios for the future of the conflict in Ukraine....

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