Grading Our 2022 Annual Forecast as 2023 Approaches
Director of Analytic Client Solutions, Stratfor
MIN READDec 29, 2022 | 21:38 GMT
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Our analysts take a lot of pride in their forecasts. And they should; it's an incredibly difficult discipline. But the work of forecasting is not complete when we hit publish. As I wrote years ago, ''the best way for us to improve our ability to look forward is to turn around and take a look back.'' A rigorous self-assessment process is as important to our forecasting methodology as anything else. There is an old quote that reads ''We learn wisdom from failure much more than from success.'' And we truly believe that. In our 2022 Forecast Scorecard, we celebrate what we got right and acknowledge what we got wrong (though I'm proud to say we, once again, had many more hits than misses)....