COLUMNS

Grassroots Terrorism in 2017: A Small but Stubborn Threat

Jan 19, 2017 | 08:00 GMT

Rescue workers tend to injured bystanders after a truck plowed through a Christmas market in Berlin on Dec. 20, 2016.
Rescue workers tend to injured bystanders after a truck plowed through a Christmas market in Berlin on Dec. 20, 2016.

(MICHELE TANTUSSI/Getty Images)

Editor's Note

For the past few years, Stratfor has provided an annual forecast for the jihadist movement in a series of Security Weekly pieces. With the launch of Stratfor's Threat Lens product, the way this forecast is presented has changed. Stratfor will still publish three Security Weeklies covering the Islamic State camp, the al Qaeda camp and grassroots jihadists. However, an additional in-depth report will be made available to Threat Lens subscribers. This will contain the entirety of our forecast for the jihadist movement in 2017, of which the weeklies are excerpts.

For the past two weeks we have discussed the opportunities and challenges facing al Qaeda and the Islamic State in the year ahead. As we examined these groups, we largely focused on their core leaders and franchises. But both jihadist organizations seek to inspire grassroots terrorists around the world as well, and though they have recently seen many setbacks, their calls to action will not go unanswered....

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