ASSESSMENTS
Great Power Politics in the South China Sea
Oct 26, 2015 | 09:30 GMT
![Chinese maritime disputes in the South China Sea](https://worldview.stratfor.com/sites/default/files/styles/2x1_full/public/main/images/us-china-scs.jpg?itok=Bug60ryz)
Filipino protestors carry signs decrying U.S. and Chinese South China Sea claims during a June 12 march on the Chinese consulate in Makati, Philippines. (DONDI TAWATAO/Getty Images)
(DONDI TAWATAO/Getty Images)
Forecast Highlights
- China will continue to push the envelope in the South China Sea because controlling the waters is key to its national security strategy.
- The United States will be limited in its ability to respond because of its concerns about escalation and because of China's nuclear capabilities.
- Beijing will lobby Washington to keep Japan out of the dispute, but Tokyo will remain involved.
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