ASSESSMENTS

Hezbollah Threatens an 'Explosion' in Beirut Over Tribunal

Nov 2, 2010 | 21:12 GMT

ANWAR AMRO/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Fears are escalating in Lebanon over Hezbollah threats to lay siege to Beirut should its members be indicted in the Special Tribunal for Lebanon investigating the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. But Hezbollah would face many obstacles, including the United States and Saudi Arabia, which are trying to keep the tribunal from fracturing, and resistance from Syrian and Saudi-backed groups. Furthermore, Hezbollah, Saudi Arabia, the United States and Iran all have an interest in avoiding the kind of chaos that would give Syria an excuse to intervene militarily in Lebanon.

Several factors could prevent militant group Hezbollah from carrying out its threat to take over Lebanon's capital if its members are indicted by a special tribunal....

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