Assessments

Syrian Kurds wave independence-era flags in support of the U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces on Dec. 19, 2024, in the northeastern Syrian city of Qamishli.

A rapprochement would boost the odds of Turkish constitutional reform needed to give Erdogan another term, while its failure could presage regionwide violence.

Hints Emerge of a Turkish-Kurdish Thaw

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Iraq

Syria

Turkey

Military & Security

Politics

Recent developments in Turkey and Syria suggest that Kurdish militants for the first time in a decade are moving toward a peace process with Turkey. If successful, this would increase the probability of Turkish constitutional reform needed to give President Recep Tayyip Erdogan another term, while its failure could presage a resumption of regionwide violence.

ASSESSMENTS

Hints Emerge of a Turkish-Kurdish Thaw

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