ASSESSMENTS

How Could a Second Trump Presidency Impact the War in Ukraine?

Jul 30, 2024 | 20:52 GMT

Then-U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with media on Sept. 21, 2017, before meeting Ukraine's then-president Petro Poroshenko on the sidelines of the 72nd U.N. General Assembly.
Then-U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with media on Sept. 21, 2017, before meeting Ukraine's then-president Petro Poroshenko on the sidelines of the 72nd U.N. General Assembly.

(BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images)

If former U.S. President Donald Trump returns to the White House, his administration would likely deprioritize supporting Ukraine in favor of other policy priorities, likely decreasing Kyiv's negotiating leverage vis-a-vis Russia and risking continued or future war. As the United States prepares to elect a new president in November, there are enduring questions about what the U.S. policy on Ukraine would look like if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins another term in office. Trump has expressed skepticism toward U.S. financial and military support for Ukraine, and his candidate for Vice President, Ohio Senator J.D. Vance, is one of the most outspoken opponents of Ukraine aid in the U.S. Senate; indeed, on April 30, Vance was one of just 15 Republican senators who voted against a bill providing around $61 billion in support for Ukraine. While Trump himself has not unveiled an official plan to end the war, he reportedly responded...

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