How Grading Our Work Makes Us Better Forecasters
Nov 19, 2018 | 17:10 GMT
We originally ran this On Stratfor column by Amelia Harnagel on Dec. 15, 2017, ahead of our 2017 forecast report card. As we put the finishing touches on our 2019 Annual Forecast and prepare to publish our 2018 forecast report card, we are reposting this column. It remains as pertinent now as it did then, and serves as a reminder to ourselves and our readers of the rigor we apply to the forecasting process and geopolitical intelligence in general. Some dates have been changed to reflect when the latest report card publishes.