On Geopolitics

How an Indian Kashmir Fits Into Modi's Grand Plan

Faisel Pervaiz
South Asia Analyst, Stratfor
Aug 29, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
India and Pakistan regularly target each other with mortar shells and gunfire on the de facto border known as the Line of Control in the disputed Himalayan territory of Kashmir, which is claimed by both nuclear-armed countries.

Jammu and Kashmir is in the midst of a seismic political shift after New Delhi announced it was stripping the state of its autonomy and splitting it into two centrally administered territories.


It's been almost a month since the government of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stripped the disputed Himalayan region of Jammu and Kashmir of its nearly 70-year-old constitutional autonomy. The decision has since sparked both jubilation and outrage across India's diverse political spectrum, as well as weeks of protests in Kashmir. For the state's former chief minister, Mehbooba Mufti, the Aug. 5 announcement amounted to "the darkest day in Indian democracy." But to Modi's supporters, it advanced the long-cherished objective of absorbing the territory into the union.  Modi is keenly aware of the dangers his decision gives rise to, including risks of a more violent insurgency in the region and of worsened relations with Pakistan. But for the recently reelected prime minister and his ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the benefits of advancing India's territorial unity outweigh the risks -- especially amid shifting power dynamics in South Asia....

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