Assessments

Protesters hold placards denouncing ECOWAS on Aug. 3, 2023, in Niamey, Niger. While an intervention probably would topple the Nigerien junta, it could cause a regional conflict, boost jihadists and lead to a weak Nigerian civilian regime.

While an intervention probably would topple the Nigerien junta, it could cause a regional conflict, boost jihadists and lead to a weak Nigerian civilian regime.

How Might an ECOWAS Military Intervention Take Shape in Niger?

How Might an ECOWAS Military Intervention Take Shape in Niger? | RANE

Highlights

Benin

Burkina Faso

Cote d'Ivoire

Mali

Niger

Nigeria

Senegal

Togo

United States

France

Military & Security

Politics

While an ECOWAS intervention would probably topple the Nigerien junta eventually, an intervention risks swelling into a regional conflict, giving jihadist groups more space to operate and making any restored Nigerien civilian government extremely fragile.

ASSESSMENTS

How Might an ECOWAS Military Intervention Take Shape in Niger?

Keep Reading