ASSESSMENTS

How Spain Will Respond to the Next Step Toward Catalan Independence

Nov 7, 2015 | 14:02 GMT

Catalan Pro-independence demonstrators protest in front of Barcelona City Hall.

(Alex Caparros/Getty Images)

Summary

On Nov. 9, Catalonia's regional parliament will vote on a "solemn proclamation" to begin the independence process. The document is not a formal declaration of independence but a statement of intent to start something that, according to secessionist forces, will lead to the creation of an independent republic within 18 months. The measure will probably be approved; secessionist forces control a majority of seats in the regional parliament. However, the central government in Madrid will take the issue to the Constitutional Court, which will almost certainly declare it illegal.

On Nov. 9, Catalonia's regional parliament will vote on a "solemn proclamation" to begin the independence process. The document is not a formal declaration of independence but a statement of intent to start a process that, according to secessionist forces, will lead to the creation of an independent republic within 18 months. The measure will probably be approved, because secessionist forces control a majority of seats in the regional parliament. However, the central government in Madrid will take the issue to the Constitutional Court, which will almost certainly declare it illegal....

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