ASSESSMENTS

India's Economic Long Game

Dec 19, 2016 | 09:15 GMT

India's Economic Long Game
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi wants to promote economic growth and job creation through his land, labor and tax reform bills.

(MANAN VATSYAYANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

India's winter parliamentary session ended without agreement on the elephant in the room: the pulling of the 500- and 1,000-rupee notes last month. Parliament also failed to pass the three remaining parts of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), a sweeping tax reform advocated by the ruling party to simplify the tax code, boost interstate trade and unite India's isolated state economies into a single national market. The two items are related: The ire and panic provoked by the demonetization scheme — 500- and 1,000-rupee notes will be worthless come the first of the year — worsened parliamentary gridlock and prevented lawmakers from coming to agreement on GST. But, angling for re-election, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is unwilling to compromise on demonetization, even if it comes at a hefty economic cost.

India's winter parliamentary session ended without agreement on the elephant in the room: the pulling of the 500- and 1,000-rupee notes last month. Parliament also failed to pass the three remaining parts of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), a sweeping tax reform advocated by the ruling party to simplify the tax code, boost interstate trade and unite India's isolated state economies into a single national market. The two items are related: The ire and panic provoked by the demonetization scheme -- 500- and 1,000-rupee notes will be worthless come the first of the year -- worsened parliamentary gridlock and prevented lawmakers from coming to agreement on GST. But, angling for re-election, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is unwilling to compromise on demonetization, even if it comes at a hefty economic cost....

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