Assessments

An Insurgent Offensive Looms Large Over Mozambique's Energy Projects

Sim Tack
Senior Global Analyst , Stratfor
Aug 14, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Soldiers patrol the streets in Mocimboa da Praia, Mozambique, on March 7, 2018.

Soldiers patrol the streets in Mocimboa da Praia, Mozambique.

(ADRIEN BARBIER/AFP via Getty Images)

Recent insurgent activity in northern Mozambique suggests a possible evolution of capabilities that could eventually grow to threaten liquified natural gas (LNG) operations in Cabo Delgado. Militants of Islamic State's Central Africa Province (ISCAP) have captured parts of the port town of Mocimboa da Praia in an offensive that consisted of coordinated attacks and interdiction of government reinforcements. Without an effective counteroffensive by government forces, or an intervention by regional forces, ISCAP could secure greater freedom of movement in Cabo Delgado and expand to directly threaten the country's LNG export projects located less than 40 miles north....

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