ASSESSMENTS

Iran-U.S. Tensions Will Remain High, Despite Both Sides' Desire To Avoid a War

Jan 31, 2024 | 22:03 GMT

A woman holding an Iranian flag poses in front of an anti-U.S. mural on a wall of the former U.S. embassy in Tehran, Iran, on Nov. 4, 2023.
A woman holding an Iranian flag poses in front of an anti-U.S. mural on a wall of the former U.S. embassy in Tehran, Iran, on Nov. 4, 2023.

(HOSSEIN BERIS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)

Both Iran and the United States want to avoid direct military confrontation, limiting the risk that further attacks by Iranian-backed regional militant groups trigger a war between the two countries, but Iran's support of such groups will permanently alter the U.S. strategy against Iran, making it harder to find a path toward peace. On Jan. 30, the Iranian-backed Iraqi militia, Kataib Hezbollah (KH), announced that it was suspending attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria, and called for its fighters to shift to a ''passive defense'' stance. The announcement comes two days after three American soldiers were killed in a drone attack in Jordan that the Islamic Resistance in Iraq umbrella group -- of which KH is a member -- has since claimed responsibility for. In his statement, KH Secretary-General Abu Hussein al-Hamidawi, who is likely at or near the top of the U.S. list of potential Iraqi militia...

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