ASSESSMENTS

Iran's Conservatives Grapple for Power

Mar 1, 2012 | 13:29 GMT

An Iranian woman walks past electoral posters in Tehran on Feb. 27

ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Iran's parliamentary elections are scheduled for March 2. With most reformist politicians banned from participating, the elections are shaping up to be a competition between Iran's two dominant conservative camps: the populists, led by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and candidates supporting the clerical establishment, led by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Though it is unlikely that even a large win for Ahmadinejad's faction would threaten the nature of the clerical regime in the near term, Ahmadinejad is trying to build a movement that can eventually wrest more control from the clerical elite. This election may indicate whether Ahmadinejad has made progress toward that goal.

Parliamentary elections will be a referendum on populists' taking on the clerical elite's role in Iran. ...

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