ASSESSMENTS

Israel's Expanding Campaign in Yemen Risks Reigniting the Civil War

Jan 8, 2025 | 15:54 GMT

A billboard depicting a Houthi military official who was killed during Yemen's civil war overlooks the Yemeni capital city of Sanaa on Jan. 2, 2025.
A billboard depicting a Houthi military official who was killed during Yemen's civil war overlooks the Yemeni capital city of Sanaa on Jan. 2, 2025.

(Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images)

Israel will likely expand its campaign against the Houthis in Yemen, first focusing on targeted strikes on Houthi military infrastructure and officials; but when this likely fails to deter the militants, Israel will escalate further, potentially spreading the conflict into the Gulf states and restarting the Yemeni civil war. Israel has recently escalated its air campaign against the Houthi movement in Yemen in response to repeated Houthi attacks on Israel. Most recently, on Dec. 26, Israel struck Yemen's capital of Sanaa, including its airport, as well as ports and power plants in places like the key port city of Hodeidah. The strikes came just a few days after Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz warned that the Israeli military would soon start targeting Houthi leaders, as it had with Hamas and Hezbollah. Despite the threat, Houthi political bureau member Mohammed al-Bukhaiti said that while the group expected escalations from both Israel...

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