ASSESSMENTS

Jordan's Reluctance To Confront Syria

Apr 13, 2012 | 12:44 GMT

Jordanian King Abdullah II addresses the parliament in Amman on Oct. 26, 2011

KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Amman is facing pressure from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states to take a stronger stance against the Syrian regime, specifically by backing Syrian rebels against the Iranian-backed Alawite government in Damascus. Jordan is the most logical conduit for Arab support, supplies and fighters to enter Syria. The GCC, led by Saudi Arabia, will try to entice Jordan into serving as the staging ground for Arab intervention in Syria and, by extension, countering Iranian and Shia influence in the region. While it aligns with the Gulf Arab monarchies on most issues, Jordan has a unique historical relationship with Syria and its own set of concerns that will significantly restrain its actions to undermine the regime of Syrian President Bashar al Assad.

Gulf states are pushing Amman to help oust the Syrian regime, but the risks may be too high....

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