ASSESSMENTS

Kazakhstan: The Evolution of a Power Structure

Jan 7, 2013 | 11:30 GMT

Kazakhstan: The Evolution of a Power Structure
Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev on Oct. 22

ALEXANDER KLEIN/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

The question of succession in Kazakhstan has drawn greater attention as the country's long-serving leader Nursultan Nazarbayev advances in age. Nazarbayev has been in power for more than 20 years, and at 72 years old he is well past the average life expectancy for Kazakh males. Kazakhstan is important because of its strategic location — flanked by Russia to the north and west and by China to the east — and its sizeable energy and mineral resources. This gives the succession issue significant domestic and regional importance.

Particularly in a country like Kazakhstan — whose geography naturally fosters regionalism — power historically has been centralized under strong and authoritarian leadership. However, this power has depended on the influence of numerous domestic and external actors within a particular structure. This structure will be instrumental in shaping the country's political trajectory.

The Kazakh clan system will influence presidential succession....

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