ASSESSMENTS

Kuwait Shifts the Burden of Reforms Onto Expatriates

Jan 14, 2019 | 12:00 GMT

Gulf Cooperation Council leaders meet in Kuwait City on Dec. 5, 2017.

Gulf Cooperation Council leaders meet in Kuwait City on Dec. 5, 2017. Like other GCC member states, Kuwait is confronting, and grappling with, the need to diversify its oil-based economy.

(YASSER AL-ZAYYAT/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • Although Kuwait's government remains committed to diversifying the country's economy and implementing structural reforms, Kuwait is likely to drag out its timeline on change since its significant wealth reduces the urgency of implementing tough measures.
  • Because Kuwait's comparatively powerful parliament opposes difficult austerity measures, the government is likely to place the onus of economically painful reform on foreign workers in the country.
  • The government will have no choice but to find the right balance between burdening expatriates and continuing to court the most talented foreigners.
  • Given that Kuwaitis tend to gravitate toward public sector employment, the government will find it difficult to persuade nationals to accept jobs in the more demanding private sector.

It's a common conundrum for all petrostates worried about the rapid approach of peak oil demand: How does one end such a profound dependence on hydrocarbons? Kuwait, for one, has followed a well-trodden path in its attempts to do so by implementing taxes, introducing new fees and trying to kick-start the private sector. Naturally, most of the plans are bankrolled by the coastal emirate's abundant wealth, which gives it significant margins to play with as it attempts economic reforms on its road to diversification. But Kuwait's economy suffers from a high deficit, inefficient workforce and overreliance on public, rather than private, spending for growth. One of the country's biggest problems is the amount it spends on Kuwaitis, a relic from when the comparatively weak royal family sought to buy the acquiescence of its citizens during the transition to an oil-based economy. Kuwait's uniquely vocal parliament has resisted austerity measures in a...

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