ASSESSMENTS
Kuwait Stumbles Amid Critical Reform
May 28, 2016 | 13:46 GMT
(YASSER AL-ZAYYAT/AFP/Getty Images)
Summary
Kuwait has always played a unique role in the Gulf. Too small to defend itself from neighboring Iraq, it has had to rely on powerful allies for security, namely Saudi Arabia and the United States. But it has also managed to maintain a high degree of independence, remaining neutral enough, for example, to host peace talks on the contentious conflict in Yemen. Unlike its neighbors, it has a relatively strong parliamentary system and a healthy economy. This independence has put Kuwait at the vanguard of the critical economic reforms that all Gulf states will eventually need to implement to make their governments more fiscally solvent and less reliant on oil revenues in this period of low oil prices.
But to reform the economy, Kuwait must first cut public sector wages, especially in the state-run oil industry. This has been a predictably contentious process; the government in all Gulf nations employs a huge portion of the population. In late April, Kuwaiti oil workers began a strike that lasted three days, building upon labor unrest among customs workers in 2011 and among downstream oil workers in 2013. After several weeks of negotiations, the government bowed to union pressure and partially exempted them from wage reform. The outcome of the Kuwaiti strike will have ramifications across the Gulf, where other governments face similarly thorny issues. Regardless of the urgency of sweeping economic reform amid a budget shortfall, these governments will find themselves compromising under social pressure.
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