Learning the Lessons of Long-Term History

Ian Morris

Board of Contributors

Jan 21, 2015 | 09:00 GMT

Winston Churchill at the 1948 opening of the 615 Squadron headquarters of the Royal Auxiliary Air Force at Croydon.

(Central Press/Hulton Archive/Getty Images)

The patterns of the past, though imperfect guides for the future, can give forecasters a bird's-eye view of things to come....

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