ASSESSMENTS

In Lebanon, Hezbollah's Challenge Grows

Jan 2, 2014 | 22:26 GMT

In Lebanon, Hezbollah's Challenge Grows
Flames rise from burning cars at the site of an explosion in Beirut's southern suburb of Haret al-Harayk on Jan. 2.

-/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

A Jan. 2 explosion in Beirut's southern suburbs — the fifth attack targeting Hezbollah's interests since July — reveals a growing jihadist capability and intent to draw Hezbollah resources away from the Syrian battlefield and back toward Lebanon. As retaliatory sectarian attacks between Sunni jihadists and Shiite militants loyal to Hezbollah escalate over the next year, Saudi Arabia will try to use the Lebanese theater of the Syrian civil war to undermine Iran's regional negotiating position and rebalance Lebanese politics in favor of Hezbollah's local Sunni competitors.

Sectarian attacks in Lebanon are a sign of Saudi Arabia's attempts to weaken Iran's assets in the region....

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