ASSESSMENTS

Mercosur Looks Beyond Itself

Jul 21, 2017 | 09:00 GMT

Flags of the countries that are full and associate members of Mercosur, the South American trade bloc. Political changes and recession in Argentina and Brazil have pushed the group to try to liberalize its trade policies.

(NORBERTO DUARTE/AFP/Getty Images)

Forecast Highlights

  • Mercosur will move toward gradual trade liberalization with other economic blocs and individual countries.
  • Political changes in Argentina and Brazil as well as reduced trade within Mercosur forced the bloc to seek other markets outside South America.
  • Among Mercosur's major trade negotiations, a deal with the European Union is the one most likely to be concluded this year.

A trade bloc long seen as averse to trading outside itself is entering a new phase. The Common Market of the South (Mercosur) is seeking to speed up trade negotiations with individual countries and economic blocs outside South America, and is especially eager to reach a free trade agreement with the European Union. Political changes and recession in Mercosur's two largest economies, Argentina and Brazil, have shifted the bloc toward a more liberal trade policy, something its other full members, Paraguay and Uruguay, have always advocated. With Mercosur's decision-making built around consensus, and with every member country holding veto power, the bloc's direction has always been at the mercy of Argentina and Brazil. Their shift on trade is moving Mercosur past its protectionist reputation....

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