Editor’s Note: Transcripts are generated using speech-recognition technology. Therefore, Stratfor cannot guarantee their complete accuracy.
The CJNG, which stands for Cartel de Jalisco Nueva Generacion or the New Generation of the Jalisco Cartel, were originally based out of Guadalajara. But they have basically become about the third largest cartel in Mexico, and they have a very wide expanse. They go all the way from the Pacific coast — from places such as Jalisco— all the way over to places such as Cancun and Veracruz. So they really are spanning Mexico at this point.
The Cartel de Jalisco Nueva Generacion was part of an organization that was run by a guy by the name of Ignacio Coronel Villarreal, or Nacho Coronel. He ran one of the very important segments of the Sinaloa Federation that was based out of Guadalajara. Following his death in July 2010, his organization split into some different parts. One of those parts spun off to become the CJNG, while another part spun off to become La Resistencia, which has been at war with the CJNG in Guadalajara.
One of the things that sets the Cartel de Jalisco Nueva Generacion apart and in many ways makes them like Los Zetas is that they're kind of a derivative group. They're not one of the groups that came out of the Guadalajara cartel. They're not one of the original smuggler groups like the Gulf cartel. They are a group that was spun off from a larger, more established group that, in their case, had been beheaded with the arrest of Nacho Coronel. After that, they actually began to really you know grow and have this dynamic new life. So they are really a different kind of cartel than what we have seen.
The other difference with them is that prior to their divergence from Sinaloa, we were kind of seeing a bipolar dynamic in Mexico, where we had most of the cartel groups cluster around either Sinaloa or Los Zetas. And then we kind of had fighting between these two forces. But the CJNG has more or less opened up a third wave or a third front now, where they are declaring war on Los Zetas and on Sinaloa, plus the allies of these other groups.
Again, the CJNG has been expanding very rapidly and at this point we don't see any indication that they're going to either stop expanding or that anything is really going to take them down. From our analysis, it seems like they're established and going to continue to be a force on the cartel horizon for the foreseeable future.