ASSESSMENTS

In Minsk Talks, Russia Comes Out Ahead

Feb 12, 2015 | 15:42 GMT

Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko, Russian President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Francois Hollande and Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko (L-R) at the presidential residence in Minsk on Feb. 11.

(MAXIM MALINOVSKY/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Following marathon talks in Minsk that lasted more than 17 hours, the leaders of Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine reached an agreement that appears to align with the Kremlin's demands. The agreement reflects Ukraine's increasingly weak negotiating position as well as Germany's wish to avoid confrontation with Russia while trying to save the eurozone. Though the deal includes some notable provisions regarding a cease-fire and the withdrawal of arms, it also contains several points, most importantly constitutional changes, that will challenge Kiev and give the Kremlin control over key parts of the agreement.

The document calls for a cease-fire to begin Feb. 15, the withdrawal of weapons and the enactment of constitutional reforms in Ukraine. Though Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko has denied that the agreement includes provisions for the creation of autonomous regions or the federalization of Ukraine, the document on the whole does fulfill several of the Kremlin's long-standing demands with regards to the status of Donbas.

Still, only time will tell if Ukraine's current cease-fire will last any longer than the previous one....

Keep Reading

Register to read three free articles

Proceed to sign up

Register Now

Already have an account?

Sign In