ASSESSMENTS

In Moldova, Transdniestria Stands Its Ground

Jul 29, 2013 | 10:16 GMT

The leader of the Moldovan breakaway territory of Transdniestria, Yevgeny Shevchuk, at a news conference in Moscow in April.

(ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Neither Russia nor Transdniestria appears ready to resolve the breakaway territory's conflict with Moldova anytime soon, despite somewhat promising statements to that effect. In a July 24 meeting with Moldovan Foreign Minister Natalia Gherman in Moscow, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Russia would withdraw weapons from Transdniestria only if Tiraspol and Chisinau agreed on a format for dialogue. However, major concessions from either side seem unlikely.

Transdniestria is small and remote, but its location in Europe's borderlands has made it a highly coveted area for centuries. Eastern and Western powers have long competed for primacy in the area, and Russia and Europe continue that competition to this day. 

The breakaway region has little incentive to change its bargaining position....

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