ASSESSMENTS

Mozambique's Disputed Local Elections Offer a Preview for the 2024 National Ballot

Nov 14, 2023 | 19:09 GMT

Opposition supporters gather to protest the results of the local elections in Maputo, Mozambique, on Oct. 17, 2023.
Opposition supporters gather to protest the results of the local elections in Maputo, Mozambique, on Oct. 17, 2023.

(ALFREDO ZUNIGA/AFP via Getty Images)

Despite recent opposition protests in Mozambique, the ruling party will likely maintain its dominance in the 2024 general elections and beyond, bolstered by a huge influx of revenue from an eventual restart of construction on a major liquified natural gas project. However, the revenue windfall will also generate uncertainty over the ruling party's objectives in Mozambique's northern provinces. In recent weeks, supporters of the opposition Mozambican National Resistance Movement party, better known as Renamo, have staged repeated protests across the country after the National Election Commission voted on Oct. 18 to confirm the ruling Frelimo party's victory in 64 of 65 municipalities in the Oct. 11 municipal elections. Nine civilians and one police officer were injured in northern Nampula province, while police used tear gas and made mass arrests to disrupt protesters who used burning barricades in the capital Maputo and smaller cities Nacala and Quelimane. Renamo members and supporters...

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