ASSESSMENTS

NATO's Diminishing Options in Libya

Jun 28, 2011 | 17:15 GMT

MAHMUD TURKIA/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

As the intervention in Libya continues, the International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant for Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi. This may embolden NATO to continue using airstrikes in an attempt to assassinate Gadhafi quickly, especially as domestic considerations could cause coalition partners to begin to lose their will to carry out the mission. Should this short-term push fail, however, the inevitable track will be one that leads to a negotiated settlement, first dealing with Gadhafi's inner circle and, failing that, eventually with the Libyan leader himself.

Negotiating a settlement with the Libyan leader is an unappetizing prospect for NATO, but it is one the alliance may have to act on -- only after first exhausting all other options....

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