ASSESSMENTS

NATO's Doctrine Supporting Rebels and the Libya Endgame

Aug 27, 2011 | 15:21 GMT

FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Following months of stalemate between the Libyan rebels and forces loyal to Moammar Gadhafi, the speed of the rebel advance that breached Tripoli in a matter of days surprised nearly all observers. With airstrikes by Western powers and the fighting capabilities of rebel forces having proved insufficient to dislodge Gadhafi from power, it is unlikely that their effect was enough to cause Gadhafi's forces to seemingly crumble so dramatically. Special operations forces have been on the ground since before the air campaign began — some have even been officially acknowledged by NATO member states by this point — while information operations to shape perceptions both inside and outside the regime have been undertaken. These efforts, however, rapidly lose their effectiveness when their targets are able to endure the initial assault, and with Gadhafi loyalists continuing to put up resistance in parts of Tripoli and hold entire cities elsewhere in Libya, victory may not be as close as it would appear for NATO and the rebels.

Western military doctrine provides a more compelling explanation for the apparent rapid collapse of loyalist control in much of Tripoli than a sudden improvement in rebel capabilities. (With STRATFOR map)...

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