ASSESSMENTS
Lebanon's Prime Minister-designate Faces Long Odds
Jan 10, 2020 | 09:00 GMT
![Marchers take to the streets of Beirut on Dec. 30, 2019, to express their displeasure with Lebanon's poor economy and government paralysis.](https://worldview.stratfor.com/sites/default/files/styles/2x1_full/public/lebanon-political-paralysis-display-gettyimages-1190927197.jpg?itok=0LWCKGux)
Lebanon's prime minister-designate, Hassan Diab, will unlikely be able to solve the government dysfunction and enact needed economic reform. This means that the pan-sectarian protest movement that has staged demonstrations across the country will likely continue to march.
(ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images)
Highlights
- Hassan Diab, who is set to become Lebanon's new prime minister, will not overcome the country's political, economic or security challenges.
- Prolonged political paralysis will heighten Lebanon's economic crisis, and potentially spark violence as major factions like Hezbollah struggle to hold onto power.
- Heightened tensions between the United States and Iran could also lead to more sanctions on Lebanon, or even to open conflict there.
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