ASSESSMENTS

Nicaragua: Political Attacks Pose No Imminent Threat to Government

Jul 24, 2014 | 09:46 GMT

Nicaragua: Political Attacks Pose No Imminent Threat to Government
Supporters of the Sandinista National Liberation Front fly party flags at the celebration of the 35th anniversary of the Sandinista Revolution in Managua on July 19.

(Inti Ocon/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Two ambushes of buses carrying political supporters of Nicaragua's ruling party signal a notable escalation in political violence in the country. The attacks, conducted by gunmen on July 19 and 20, mark the deadliest instances of political violence since the end of Nicaragua's Contra insurgency, which lasted from 1979 to 1990.

The incidents suggest the presence of small, politically motivated militant groups operating against the government. A group calling itself the National Salvation Forces-Popular Army claimed responsibility. However, guerrillas operating in the country likely lack the popular and financial support that would be needed to pose an immediate threat to the ruling Sandinista National Liberation Front.

Two recent gun attacks mark a significant escalation in political violence in the country....

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