ASSESSMENTS

Nigerian Militants Threaten the Country's Oil Industry

Jan 27, 2014 | 23:42 GMT

Fighters with the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta
Fighters with the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta celebrate news of a successful operation against the Nigerian army in 2008.

(PIUS UTOMI EKPEI/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Threats against oil infrastructure by a militant group in Nigeria's oil-producing south have once again raised concerns about the reliability of Africa's top oil exporter. The Nigerian militant group Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, commonly known by its acronym MEND, threatened Jan. 27 to attack Nigerian oil infrastructure and halt crude oil production by 2015. The militant group retains the capability to conduct limited attacks against Nigerian military personnel and isolated energy infrastructure, but it no longer possesses the organizational cohesion and covert political backing it had in the mid- to late 2000s that enabled it to disrupt hundreds of thousands of barrels of oil production per day.

Despite their claims, Niger Delta militants no longer have the political protection or organizational solidity needed to act on their threats that they had five years ago....

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