REFLECTIONS

Old Threats to New Leaders in Ethiopia and Zimbabwe

Jun 29, 2018 | 07:59 GMT

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed addresses a rally behind protective glass in Addis Ababa on June 23.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed addresses a rally behind protective glass in Addis Ababa on June 23. He later survived an attempted assassination unharmed.

(YONAS TADESSE/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Zimbabwean President Emmerson Mnangagwa survived separate grenade attacks on June 23, but the failed assassination attempts are unlikely to slow down either leader.
  • Abiy will continue to shake up Ethiopia’s status quo through moves such as overtures to archrival Eritrea.
  • Mnangagwa will likely move against supporters of former first lady Grace Mugabe’s G40 movement faction as he closes in on victory in July 30 polls.

Hand grenades were thrown during the final moments of two rallies in Africa on June 23: at a huge gathering for Ethiopia's new prime minister, Abiy Ahmed, and at an election rally for Zimbabwe's president, Emmerson Mnangagwa. On the surface, there are clear parallels between the two attacks: Two new and ambitious African leaders and their supporters were targeted by reactionary forces. However, the attacks, their likely perpetrators and the motivations behind them fit into more specific contexts. And perhaps most crucially is the outcome: The failed assassination attempts will not slow the men they were intended to kill. According to both governments, Abiy will press forward with Ethiopia's economic and political openings as will Mnangagwa with Zimbabwe's July 30 elections....

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