ASSESSMENTS

Pakistan: Swat and Counter-Jihadist Operations

Nov 27, 2007 | 22:29 GMT

STRATFOR

Summary

Pakistani troops reportedly seized a key mountain peak Nov. 27 and shut down the pirate radio station operated by a jihadist group in the North-West Frontier Province's Swat district. The government likely will be able to take back the key towns in Swat, but it will only be a tactical victory. In the long run, the militancy likely will revive because of geography, demography and the crisis of governance — which is becoming especially acute in northwestern Pakistan.

Militancy in Pakistan will likely revive because of geography, demography and the country's crisis of governance....

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