ASSESSMENTS

Part 1: The Perils of Using Islamism to Protect the Core

Dec 17, 2008 | 12:03 GMT

Summary

The fundamental challenge to Pakistan’s survival is twofold. First, the only route of expansion that makes any sense is along the Indus River Valley, the country’s fertile heartland, but that path takes Pakistan into India’s front yard. Second, Pakistan also has an insurmountable internal problem: In its efforts to secure buffers, it is forced to include various ethnic groups that, because of mountainous terrain, are impossible to assimilate. When the government used religion as a tool to unify the buffer regions with the Indus Valley core, it did not anticipate that the strategy would threaten the state's survival.

In this first installment of a series on Pakistan, Stratfor examines the problematic policy of using the country’s Islamic identity to control its hinterlands. <em>(With Stratfor maps)</em>...

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