ASSESSMENTS

Part 2: A Crisis in Indian-Pakistani Relations

Dec 18, 2008 | 12:43 GMT

Summary

Islamabad has long tried to play a double game with Washington by offering piecemeal cooperation in battling jihadists while retaining its jihadist card. But this is becoming an increasingly difficult balancing act for Pakistan as the United States, and now India, after the November Mumbai attacks, lose any tolerance they once had for Pakistan’s Islamist militant franchise. Long the guarantor of state stability, the Pakistani military is now suffering from civil-military infighting, rogue intelligence operatives, a jihadist insurgency of its own and distinct disadvantages vis-à-vis its South Asian rival.

Following the Mumbai attacks, diplomatic posturing continues between India and Pakistan, but the threat of war is palpable. <em>(With Stratfor maps)</em>...

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