ASSESSMENTS

Political Turmoil Throws Australia Off Balance

Sep 19, 2018 | 09:00 GMT

New Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison speaks during question time in the House of Representatives in Canberra on Sept. 13.

New Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison speaks during question time in the House of Representatives in Canberra on Sept. 13. Australia's revolving door of prime ministers has produced turmoil that has hurt its relations with major powers in the Asia-Pacific region.

(STEFAN POSTLES/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • With a razor-thin majority in parliament, new Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison will struggle to build a consensus among members of his Liberal-National coalition and prevent the Labor Party from winning elections next year.
  • Until Australia solves the problem of parliamentary fragmentation, it will encounter difficulty in balancing economic ties with China and political ties with the United States.
  • Due to Canberra's mixed signals on its ties with Beijing, China may choose to put engagement on hold until Australia's elections next year.

For the past decade, Australia has been politically adrift. Like some counterparts in the Western world, Australia has been experiencing a cycle of deep fragmentation, polarization and swings in the political balance that have put its governments off kilter. Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull's downfall in late August ushered in the country's sixth prime minister in less than a decade – with that period nearly evenly split between the country's two political pillars, the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal-National coalition. Turnbull's removal comes at a time when Australia is facing numerous foreign policy challenges. The country is attempting to balance both its deep strategic ties with the United States and its deep economic ties to China. The United States' protectionist push has only complicated Australia's predicament further, especially as its geographical isolation means it must depend on the free flow of goods and investment across the region. But with political...

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