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Preservation vs. Fragmentation: Two Paths Toward a New Order in the Middle East

Feb 24, 2026 | 17:00 GMT

A dark earth map of the Middle East with glowing details of cities and human population density areas.
A dark earth map of the Middle East with glowing details of cities and human population density areas.

(Getty Images)

Erstwhile Gulf Arab allies battle one another in proxy wars in Sudan and Yemen. Pro-U.S. partners Turkey and Israel face off in Syria. These are just some of the most high-profile Middle Eastern conflicts now emerging, driven by an unfolding regional competition between two camps with very different views. One, comprising Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Turkey, aims to fill power vacuums by rebuilding existing states. The other, made up of Israel and the United Arab Emirates, intends instead to weaken embattled states or carve them up into new ones. ...

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