ASSESSMENTS

Previewing Ecuador's Presidential Election

Feb 6, 2025 | 20:10 GMT

A woman walks past a mural of leftist presidential candidate Luisa Gonzalez in Quito, Ecuador, on Feb. 5, 2025.
A woman walks past a mural of leftist presidential candidate Luisa Gonzalez in Quito, Ecuador, on Feb. 5, 2025.

(RODRIGO BUENDIA/AFP via Getty Images)

In Ecuador, President Daniel Noboa's victory in upcoming elections would portend a continuation of business-friendly policies that slowly improve economic conditions, while a victory by the left-wing opposition candidate would see increased social spending that slightly improves poverty levels but threatens the country's IMF deal. Ecuador will hold general elections on Feb. 9 to appoint a president and all seats in the country's National Assembly. The vote will see President Noboa of the center-right National Democratic Action party run for a full four-year term after serving a compressed 18-month term starting in November 2023. Based on polling, the presidential election is highly likely to go to a run-off vote scheduled for April 13. Polling indicates that Noboa will likely again face off against opposition candidate Luisa Gonzalez of the left-wing Citizen Revolution Movement party (a protege of former President Rafael Correa), who Noboa defeated in the second round of the...

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