ASSESSMENTS

Putin Gives Russia a Glimpse of a Future Without Him

undefined and Senior Global Analyst
Sim Tack
Senior Global Analyst , Stratfor
undefined and Global Security Analyst
Jeff Hawn
Global Security Analyst, Stratfor

Jan 27, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

Russian President Vladimir Putin (2R) and Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin (2L) meet with members of the new government in Moscow on Jan. 21, 2020.

Russian President Vladimir Putin (2R) and Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin (2L) meet with members of the new government in Moscow on Jan. 21, 2020. Putin is preparing Russia for a future without him.

(DMITRY ASTAKHOV/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)

Highlights

  • With his proposed constitutional changes, Putin will seek to transform Russia from a personality-driven, super-presidential system to one based on consensus and institutional interdependence between different governmental bodies.
  • With power to be divided between the president and the State Duma, stable rule in Russia will come to depend more on the unity of dominant factions in the Kremlin and the parliament than on a single leader.
  • The division of powers, as well as potential competition between them, increases the chances of political discord as Putin exits the political stage.

The Russian president's best-laid plans for a consensus-based system of governance may fall afoul to the factions within the country's ruling party....

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