Morocco's short-term harvest yield increase is very unlikely to signal an end to persistent drought conditions, meaning the country will likely continue to rely on food imports and its agricultural sector will likely continue to lose jobs, worsening economic conditions ahead of the 2026 parliamentary elections. In late June, the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service forecasted that Morocco's wheat and barley harvest, which usually occurs from May through July, would increase its yield to 4.4 million tons, a 40% increase from the previous year's 3.1 million ton harvest. In addition, the broader agriculture sector -- which made up about 10% of Morocco's GDP in 2024 -- is expected to expand by 2.5% in 2025, according to the Moroccan central bank, after contracting by 4.8% in the previous season due to the effects of the multi-year drought. The increase is largely due to heavy rain and snowfall in March...
