Raising the Stakes in Xi's Consolidation of Power

A string of mysterious disappearances of Chinese nationals could signal that Chinese President Xi Jinping is taking his effort to consolidate power to new heights ahead of the next National Congress of the Communist Party in 2017. It appears that Chinese intelligence agents have recently carried out a number of renditions targeting Chinese citizens living abroad, including some who hold dual nationalities. Many of these renditions occurred in Thailand, though one took place in Hong Kong, where the "one country, two systems" principle legally bans Chinese intelligence services from operating. 

If the disappearances were in fact secret renditions, they would mark a substantial shift in the behavior of Chinese intelligence services, which until now have not been known to engage in kidnapping or assassination campaigns beyond China's borders. They would also point to great strain within China's political system as Xi and those loyal to him move to centralize power by cracking down on dissent, increasing control over the media, calling for loyalty, and implementing an extensive anti-corruption campaign. As China's social and economic challenges grow in the lead-up to the power shuffle slated to take place at the next Party Congress, the latest development could be a sign that Xi's government will show less restraint and more assertiveness in its responses to stressors at home and abroad.