Desert Storm was about restoring the status quo ante. The 2003 war with Iraq will be about redefining the status quo in the region. Geopolitically, it will leave countries like Syria and Saudi Arabia completely surrounded by U.S. military forces and Iran partially surrounded. It is therefore no surprise that the regional powers, regardless of their hostility to Saddam Hussein, oppose the war: They do not want to live in a post-war world in which their own power is diluted. Nor is it a surprise, after last week’s events in Europe indicating that war is coming, that the regional powers — and particularly Saudi Arabia — are now redefining their private and public positions to the war. If the United States cannot be stopped from redefining the region, an accommodation will have to be reached....
