ASSESSMENTS

As the Road to Statehood Narrows, What’s Next for the Palestinian Cause?

Dec 22, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

A protester waves the Palestinian flag amid smoke from tear gas fired by Israeli security forces during a demonstration near the West Bank village of Beit Dajan on Dec. 18, 2020.

A protester waves the Palestinian flag amid smoke from tear gas fired by Israeli security forces during a demonstration near the West Bank village of Beit Dajan on Dec. 18, 2020.

(JAAFAR ASHTIYEH/AFP via Getty Images)

The Palestinians are facing the increasingly likely prospect of Israel imposing a one-state solution at a time when the world is preoccupied with other regional priorities. Iran’s threatening behavior, as well as the growing trend of Israeli-Arab normalization, has placed Palestinian statehood on the backburner over the past year, creating space for an ever-more nationalistic Israel to enact policies with a freer hand. As the next decade unfolds, the Palestinians will be forced to choose between either shifting focus to their nationalization inside Israel, or adopting a wait-and-see approach in the hopes that their cause regains its former importance. Settling for anything less than statehood, however, will risk spurring another surge of militancy and unrest. But depending on the stabilization of the region’s geopolitical climate will also risk leaving the Palestinians’ political future to fate. ...

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