ASSESSMENTS

Russia Cleans Up Its Banks on Borrowed Time

Nov 3, 2017 | 20:45 GMT

Russian Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev (C) meets with members of the government's finance and economy ministries in 2014 to discuss policy

Over the past 20 years, the Central Bank of Russia has shrunk the country's banking sector by closing, consolidating or nationalizing hundreds of failing banks. But deep problems persist among Russia's financial institutions.

(DMITRY ASTAKHOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • As its economy stagnates, Russia's central bank will continue cleaning out the banking sector with bailouts, nationalizations, closures and reforms.
  • The state will take over or bail out the largest private banks to prevent a social backlash ahead of the 2018 elections.
  • With its finances limited, the state cannot nationalize the entire banking sector; the political, social and economic fallout from some bank closures will add to the Kremlin's troubles.

Turbulence has characterized the Russian banking sector since the fall of the Soviet Union. In the economic free-for-all of the 1990s, newly minted oligarchs, politicians, business executives and criminal groups opened private banks to grow their asset bases, massage their books and funnel money to their various interests. More than 2,500 banks had popped up in Russia by the middle of the decade. With no clear rules or strategy to guide it, the sector grew unchecked, contributing to the financial crisis of 1998. The Kremlin began trying to bring order to Russia's banking system, and over the past 20 years, the Central Bank of Russia has shrunk the sector by closing, consolidating or nationalizing hundreds of failing banks. But deep problems persist. A stagnant economy and depleted resources are increasingly limiting the Kremlin's ability to intervene, stoking fears of a looming systemic crisis and threatening to exacerbate dissent in the...

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