ASSESSMENTS

Russia-NATO Competition Mounts in Georgia

Dec 8, 2014 | 10:02 GMT

Georgia
Georgian troops parade at a ceremony to mark independence day in Tbilisi on May 26.

(VANO SHLAMOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

In the ongoing competition between Russia and the West over the former Soviet periphery, the Caucasus nation of Georgia has long been a significant site of tension. With the crisis in Ukraine grinding on, Georgia is pushing to more closely integrate with both NATO and the European Union. For its part, Moscow is working to establish a bigger footprint in the pro-Russia breakaway territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. These integrations increase the risk of escalation on the security front. A return to full-scale conflict, however, is unlikely. Instead, tensions in the trilateral relationship between Georgia, Russia and NATO will mount and continue to play a key role in influencing the broader standoff between Moscow and the West.

While the Ukraine crisis has increased tensions on the former Soviet periphery, a conflict in Georgia along the lines of the 2008 war is unlikely....

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