ASSESSMENTS

Russia Solidifies its Military Position in Ukraine

Dec 2, 2014 | 10:00 GMT

Russia Solidifies its Military Positions in Ukraine
A man waves a Russian flag in front of Ukrainian separatist soldiers near the eastern village of Perevalne in March of 2013.

(ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Over the past month, according to observers, Russia has sent more troops and equipment into separatist-held eastern Ukraine. The flow initially decreased after a cease-fire took effect Sept. 5, but now appears to have risen again. Even though the cease-fire has not been completely implemented and skirmishes continue to break out along the front line, the shape and posture of these Russian reinforcements does not necessarily indicate a further escalation of the conflict between Ukrainian forces and separatists. Instead, Russia seems to be consolidating the gains made prior to the cease-fire declaration, securing the separatists' hold on the territory they currently control. There are no indications of an expanded campaign further into Ukraine.

Russia's recent convoys of troops and equipment into Ukraine are meant to replace and resupply existing forces, not to escalate the conflict....

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